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Trader profile

errormargin3

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Profitable historically.

Lifetime PnL+$54.4KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate51.9%156 settled · past 180 days0 open · 6 hours ago
Lifetime volume$4.6M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded361Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−20.4% / $95% interval −75.6% to +34.7%360 settled fills · 90d window
Sports
−20.4%n=360 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 1 hour ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 51.9% · Decided 156 · 180d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded6 hours ago
Current position value
$0
Snapshot cash PnL
−$325.9K
Concentration
—
Largest share of value
Positions
141
Showing the largest 8 of 141
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Team Resilience - Game 1 Winner
LGD Gaming · YesValue$0PnL−$1KAvg19.9¢Current0¢5,178.44Shares
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Liquid (BO3) - The International Group Stage
Team Yandex · YesValue$0PnL−$23Avg13.1¢Current0¢175.03Shares
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Natus Vincere - Game 1 Winner
LGD Gaming · YesValue$0PnL−$6.6KAvg26.4¢Current0¢24,907.77Shares
UFC 330: Jalin Turner vs. Kauê Fernandes (Lightweight, Prelims)
Kauê Fernandes · NoValue$0PnL−$2KAvg49¢Current0¢4,081.63Shares
Dota 2: GamerLegion vs 1win - Game 2 Winner
GamerLegion · YesValue$0PnL−$3.3KAvg51¢Current0¢6,408.12Shares
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs 1win - Game 2 Winner
1win · NoValue$0PnL−$1.8KAvg37.6¢Current0¢4,785.77Shares
Dota 2: Iron Wing vs Team Liquid (BO3) - The International Group Stage
Iron Wing · YesValue$0PnL−$2KAvg25¢Current0¢8,141.1Shares
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 Winner
LGD Gaming · NoValue$0PnL−$300Avg46.8¢Current0¢640.42Shares
Showing 8 of 141 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet errormargin3: 51.9% win rate over 156 resolved positions (last 180 days), edge −20.4% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −75.6%, n=360 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (−20.4% over 360 fills); +$54.4K lifetime P&L, $4.6M traded, updated 2026-09-29.