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Trader profile

Alabjack231

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Loss-making historically.

Lifetime PnL−$14KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate68.4%1,228 settled · past 180 days1 open · 0% underwater · 2 hours ago
Lifetime volume$8.8M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded604Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−13.3% / $95% interval −199.2% to +172.5%268 settled fills · 90d window
Sports
−7.5%n=16 settled
Crypto
−13.3%n=252 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 12 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 68.4% · Decided 1,228 · 180d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded2 hours ago
Current position value
$1.4K
Snapshot cash PnL
−$345.8K
Concentration
100%
Largest share of value
Positions
363
Showing the largest 8 of 363
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Bitcoin Up or Down on September 28?
Down · NoValue$1.4KPnL+$83Avg93.9¢Current100¢1,376.67Shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET
Up · YesValue$0PnL−$1.2KAvg60.6¢Current0¢2,047.51Shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET
UpValue$0PnL−$36Avg63¢Current0¢57.19Shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 2AM ET
Up · YesValue$0PnL−$135Avg57.4¢Current0¢234.96Shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET
Up · YesValue$0PnL−$4.6KAvg93¢Current0¢4,966.95Shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET
Down · NoValue$0PnL−$569Avg87.6¢Current0¢650Shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET
DownValue$0PnL−$456Avg46.3¢Current0¢983.79Shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET
Up · YesValue$0PnL−$606Avg60.6¢Current0¢1,000Shares
Showing 8 of 363 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet Alabjack231: 68.4% win rate over 1,228 resolved positions (last 180 days), edge −13.3% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −199.2%, n=268 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (−7.5% over 16 fills); −$14K lifetime P&L, $8.8M traded, updated 2026-09-28.