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Trader profile

SpecStavok

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Profitable historically.

Lifetime PnL+$1.2KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate50.5%1,307 settled · past 180 days5 open · 55% underwater · 14 hours ago
Lifetime volume$1M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded1,293Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−20.4% / $95% interval −706.5% to +665.7%20 settled fills · 90d window
Sports
−18.0%n=19 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 2 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 50.5% · Decided 1,307 · 180d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded14 hours ago
Current position value
$600
Snapshot cash PnL
−$99.9K
Concentration
62.9%
Largest share of value
Positions
685
Showing the largest 8 of 685
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Counter-Strike: Luminosity vs 3DMAX (BO5) - Logitech G Play Connect Playoffs
3DMAX · NoValue$377PnL+$73Avg61¢Current75.5¢499.99Shares
Counter-Strike: Luminosity vs 3DMAX (BO5) - Logitech G Play Connect Playoffs
Luminosity · YesValue$123PnL−$68Avg38¢Current24.5¢500Shares
Dota 2: avice Team vs gpk Team - Game 2 Winner
gpk Team · NoValue$68PnL+$23Avg45¢Current67.5¢100Shares
Dota 2: avice Team vs gpk Team - Game 2 Winner
avice Team · YesValue$33PnL−$18Avg50¢Current32.5¢100Shares
Dota 2: avice Team vs gpk Team - Game 1 Winner
gpk Team · NoValue$0.07PnL−$32Avg23¢Current0.1¢141.07Shares
Dota 2: Rostikfacekid Club vs Stray Club - Game 2 Winner
Rostikfacekid ClubValue$0PnL−$38Avg54.9¢Current0¢69.25Shares
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs BetBoom Team - Game 1 Winner
Xtreme Gaming · YesValue$0PnL−$27Avg27¢Current0¢100Shares
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Open Porto Group A
Aurora Gaming · NoValue$0PnL−$17Avg24¢Current0¢70Shares
Showing 8 of 685 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet SpecStavok: 50.5% win rate over 1,307 resolved positions (last 180 days), edge −20.4% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −706.5%, n=20 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (−18.0% over 19 fills); +$1.2K lifetime P&L, $1M traded, updated 2026-09-23.