PolyTrace
← Back to wallets

Trader profile

smalltimezzz

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Profitable historically.

Lifetime PnL+$35KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate28.3%1,754 settled · past 90 days101 open · 66% underwater · 3 hours ago
Lifetime volume$20.3M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded89Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
+1.5% / $95% interval −3.8% to +6.9%20 settled fills · 90d window
Culture
+1.5%n=20 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 24 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 28.3% · Decided 1,754 · 90d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded3 hours ago
Current position value
$24.8K
Snapshot cash PnL
−$387.2K
Concentration
9.8%
Largest share of value
Positions
1,441
Showing the largest 8 of 1,441
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?
YesValue$2.4KPnL+$1.6KAvg6.4¢Current19.5¢12,477.26Shares
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026?
YesValue$2.3KPnL+$641Avg48.5¢Current67.5¢3,380.62Shares
Will Elon tweet 840-879 times in September 2026?
YesValue$1.9KPnL+$1.1KAvg18.3¢Current46.5¢3,998.56Shares
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?
YesValue$1.8KPnL+$1.3KAvg6.6¢Current23.5¢7,811.45Shares
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?
YesValue$1.6KPnL+$985Avg7.4¢Current18.5¢8,842.71Shares
Will Elon tweet 880-919 times in September 2026?
YesValue$1.5KPnL+$731Avg17.3¢Current34¢4,373.42Shares
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?
YesValue$1.4KPnL+$534Avg8.2¢Current13.5¢10,103.09Shares
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 28 to September 30, 2026?
YesValue$1.3KPnL+$757Avg20.5¢Current48.5¢2,701.01Shares
Showing 8 of 1,441 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

Loading tracked activity…

Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet smalltimezzz: 28.3% win rate over 1,754 resolved positions (last 90 days), edge +1.5% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −3.8%, n=20 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Culture (+1.5% over 20 fills); +$35K lifetime P&L, $20.3M traded, updated 2026-09-29.