PolyTrace
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Trader profile

timetowander

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Profitable historically.

Lifetime PnL+$262.2KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate27.4%881 settled · past 90 days22 open · >99% underwater · 3 hours ago
Lifetime volume$98.9M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded63Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−12.7% / $95% interval −25.1% to −0.3%2,823 settled fills · 90d window
Politics
+8.6%n=20 settled
Sports
+3.8%n=238 settled
Finance
−13.4%n=2,506 settled
Crypto
−33.3%n=38 settled
Unmapped
−48.5%n=21 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 22 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 27.4% · Decided 881 · 90d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded3 hours ago
Current position value
$11.3K
Snapshot cash PnL
−$1.7M
Concentration
43.9%
Largest share of value
Positions
907
Showing the largest 8 of 907
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
NoValue$4.9KPnL−$42Avg59¢Current58.5¢8,451.65Shares
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?
NoValue$3.3KPnL+$25Avg66¢Current66.5¢5,000.03Shares
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?
YesValue$1.2KPnL−$41.8KAvg20¢Current0.5¢214,667.28Shares
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
YesValue$162PnL−$512Avg3.1¢Current0.8¢21,548.33Shares
Will Tereza Cristina win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
YesValue$157PnL−$6.7KAvg2.2¢Current0.1¢314,714.69Shares
Will Eduardo Leite win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
YesValue$157PnL−$6.7KAvg2.2¢Current0.1¢314,714.69Shares
Will Aldo Rebelo win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
YesValue$157PnL−$6.7KAvg2.2¢Current0.1¢314,714.69Shares
Will Helder Barbalho win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
YesValue$157PnL−$6.7KAvg2.2¢Current0.1¢314,714.69Shares
Showing 8 of 907 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet timetowander: 27.4% win rate over 881 resolved positions (last 90 days), edge −12.7% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −25.1%, n=2,823 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Politics (+8.6% over 20 fills); +$262.2K lifetime P&L, $98.9M traded, updated 2026-09-24.