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Trader profile

Karnelius

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Loss-making historically.

Lifetime PnL−$62Polymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate31.3%32 settled · past 180 days4 open · 44% underwater · 2 days ago
Lifetime volume$10.6K188 trades · Polymarket
Markets traded129Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed

Not measured: fewer than 10 settled fills in the window. No edge is published for this wallet, and that is not a zero.

How this record is measured

Win rate 31.3% · Decided 32 · 180d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded2 days ago
Current position value
$4
Snapshot cash PnL
−$55
Concentration
52.3%
Largest share of value
Positions
31
Showing the largest 8 of 31
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
NoValue$2PnL+$1Avg17.7¢Current39.6¢5.65Shares
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
YesValue$0.89PnL−$0.11Avg17.5¢Current15.5¢5.71Shares
Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
YesValue$0.77PnL−$0.23Avg1.1¢Current0.9¢90.91Shares
Will Belgium recognize Palestine before 2027?
YesValue$0.38PnL−$0.62Avg21¢Current8¢4.76Shares
Counter-Strike: Galorys vs BORRACHEIROS (BO3) - BetBoom Storm Playoffs
BORRACHEIROS · NoValue$0PnL−$2Avg10.2¢Current0¢19.55Shares
Dota 2: Iron Wing vs Team Spirit (BO3) - The International Playoffs
Iron Wing · YesValue$0PnL−$2Avg32¢Current0¢6.25Shares
Will Fidesz–KDNP win the most national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?
YesValue$0PnL−$1Avg17¢Current0¢5.88Shares
Counter-Strike: Bushido Wildcats vs ex-RUSTEC (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #7 Group A
ex-RUSTEC · NoValue$0PnL−$1Avg37¢Current0¢2.7Shares
Showing 8 of 31 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
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Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet Karnelius: 31.3% win rate over 32 resolved positions (last 180 days), edge not yet scored (needs 10 settled fills); −$62 lifetime P&L, $10.6K traded, updated 2026-09-27.