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Trader profile

Montaigne

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Profitable historically.

Lifetime PnL+$178.8KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate57.1%42 settled · past 90 days2 open · 50% underwater · 4 days ago
Lifetime volume$55M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded0Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed

Not measured: fewer than 10 settled fills in the window. No edge is published for this wallet, and that is not a zero.

How this record is measured

Win rate 57.1% · Decided 42 · 90d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded1 day ago
Current position value
$2.3M
Snapshot cash PnL
−$38.3K
Concentration
91.3%
Largest share of value
Positions
37
Showing the largest 8 of 37
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
NoValue$2.1MPnL+$939.8KAvg50¢Current91.3¢2,278,309Shares
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
YesValue$199.4KPnL−$939.8KAvg50¢Current8.8¢2,278,309Shares
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?
NoValue$0PnL−$225Avg40.5¢Current0¢556.24Shares
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 15 to June 17, 2026?
NoValue$0PnL−$17Avg27.7¢Current0¢60Shares
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?
YesValue$0PnL−$13Avg56.8¢Current0¢23.25Shares
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?
YesValue$0PnL−$1.5KAvg28¢Current0¢5,462.02Shares
Will Romania be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?
NoValue$0PnL−$24Avg40¢Current0¢60Shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?
NoValue$0PnL−$32Avg34.3¢Current0¢91.94Shares
Showing 8 of 37 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

Loading tracked activity…

Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

BUYYES
Unknown · 63.9¢
unavailable
$2K
BUYYES
Unknown · 76.7¢
unavailable
$5K
BUYYES
Unknown · 89.2¢
unavailable
$1.2K
BUYYES
Unknown · 92.8¢
unavailable
$13.8K
BUYYES
Unknown · 99.2¢
unavailable
$1.5K

About this wallet

Wallet Montaigne: 57.1% win rate over 42 resolved positions (last 90 days), edge not yet scored (needs 10 settled fills); +$178.8K lifetime P&L, $55M traded, updated 2026-09-28.