PolyTrace
← Back to wallets

Trader profile

ColdTrigger

Directional

Historical record

Loss-making historically.

Lifetime PnL−$9.1KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate—Positions repeatedly closed near their entry price0 open · 4 days ago
Lifetime volume$464.3K1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded936Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−16.3% / $95% interval −73.1% to +40.4%23 settled fills · 90d window
Sports
−15.4%n=19 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 23 hours ago

How this record is measured

Flat-price round trips dominate this sample, so no win rate is shown.

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded4 days ago
Current position value
$0
Snapshot cash PnL
−$26K
Concentration
—
Largest share of value
Positions
61
Showing the largest 8 of 61
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
NoValue$0PnL−$189Avg65.7¢Current0¢287Shares
NoValue$0PnL−$450Avg45¢Current0¢1,000Shares
YesValue$0PnL−$435Avg11.2¢Current0¢3,876.55Shares
NoValue$0PnL−$3.1KAvg24.3¢Current0¢12,676.43Shares
YesValue$0PnL−$50Avg10¢Current0¢500Shares
NoValue$0PnL−$73Avg10.8¢Current0¢678.93Shares
OverValue$0PnL−$203Avg20.4¢Current0¢992.09Shares
YesValue$0PnL−$2.2KAvg25¢Current0¢8,767.02Shares
Showing 8 of 61 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

Loading tracked activity…

Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet ColdTrigger: edge −16.3% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −73.1%, n=23 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (−15.4% over 19 fills); −$9.1K lifetime P&L, $464.3K traded, updated 2026-09-25.