PolyTrace
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Trader profile

0x57b2…9da2

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Loss-making historically.

Lifetime PnL−$57.2KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate47.3%3,173 settled · past 180 days7 open · 10% underwater · 7 hours ago
Lifetime volume$2.2M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded4,494Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−9.0% / $95% interval −28.5% to +10.5%256 settled fills · 90d window
Sports
−11.3%n=252 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 2 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 47.3% · Decided 3,173 · 180d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded7 hours ago
Current position value
$4.1K
Snapshot cash PnL
−$459.5K
Concentration
74.2%
Largest share of value
Positions
2,326
Showing the largest 8 of 2,326
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Tokyo Yakult Swallows vs. Hiroshima Carp
Hiroshima Carp · NoValue$3.1KPnL+$1.2KAvg46¢Current76.5¢4,000Shares
Monterrey Open: Nikola Bartunkova vs Anastasia Potapova
Anastasia Potapova · NoValue$339PnL+$68Avg40¢Current50¢677.6Shares
Map Handicap: CHAMA (-1.5) vs Mansão Maromba (+1.5)
Mansão MarombaValue$215PnL+$34Avg42.1¢Current50¢430Shares
HIFK Helsinki vs. Lukko Rauma
HIFK Helsinki · YesValue$195PnL−$137Avg46¢Current27¢721.5Shares
KBO: Lotte Giants vs. Samsung Lions
Lotte Giants · YesValue$128PnL+$39Avg34.4¢Current49.5¢259Shares
Counter-Strike: BESTIA Academy vs Zetta Games - Map 1 Winner
Zetta Games · NoValue$83PnL+$29Avg32.4¢Current50¢165.98Shares
Dane Sweeny vs. Corentin Moutet: Total Sets O/U 3.5
Under 3.5Value$30PnL+$4Avg44¢Current50¢60Shares
Spread: CA Penarol Montevideo (-1.5)
CA Penarol Montevideo · YesValue$17PnL+$9Avg21¢Current45.5¢37.25Shares
Showing 8 of 2,326 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet 0x57b258499f7a4cfc5043ceae57a51f7e6f529da2: 47.3% win rate over 3,173 resolved positions (last 180 days), edge −9.0% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −28.5%, n=256 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (−11.3% over 252 fills); −$57.2K lifetime P&L, $2.2M traded, updated 2026-09-24.