PolyTrace
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Trader profile

silent

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Profitable historically.

Lifetime PnL+$2.4KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate61.8%55 settled · past 180 days4 open · 17% underwater · 1 hour ago
Lifetime volume$228.2K478 trades · Polymarket
Markets traded75Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
+9.9% / $95% interval −45.2% to +64.9%14 settled fills · 90d window

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 22 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 61.8% · Decided 55 · 180d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded1 hour ago
Current position value
$5.9K
Snapshot cash PnL
−$3.3K
Concentration
65.4%
Largest share of value
Positions
35
Showing the largest 8 of 35
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?
NoValue$3.8KPnL+$148Avg92.3¢Current96.1¢4,000Shares
US strike on Cuba by December 31?
NoValue$1.7KPnL+$250Avg73¢Current85.5¢2,000Shares
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
YesValue$320PnL−$70Avg78¢Current64.1¢500Shares
Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30?
YesValue$4PnL−$12Avg75¢Current19.5¢22.33Shares
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?
YesValue$0PnL−$53Avg42.5¢Current0¢125Shares
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
YesValue$0PnL−$928Avg23.2¢Current0¢4,000Shares
Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by June 30?
NoValue$0PnL−$220Avg5.5¢Current0¢4,000Shares
Will Billy Joel: And So It Goes win Best Producer of Non-Fiction TV at the 37th PGA Awards?
YesValue$0PnL−$3Avg3¢Current0¢85Shares
Showing 8 of 35 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet silent: 61.8% win rate over 55 resolved positions (last 180 days), edge +9.9% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −45.2%, n=14 settled fills over 90 days); +$2.4K lifetime P&L, $228.2K traded, updated 2026-09-29.