PolyTrace
← Back to wallets

Trader profile

toshua

Market makers
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Market-making activity, measured as two-sided flow.

Lifetime PnL+$12.7KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Buy / sell split—Loading trading flow…5 open · 82% underwater · 14 hours ago
Lifetime volume$3.4M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded650Lifetime coverage
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
+29.2% / $95% interval −33.3% to +91.8%48 settled fills · 90d window
Sports
+30.1%n=43 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 2 hours ago

How this record is measured

Two-sided market-making flow does not measure directional forecasting skill.

Observed activity

How this wallet provides liquidity

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded14 hours ago
Current position value
$2.3K
Snapshot cash PnL
−$2.4K
Concentration
85%
Largest share of value
Positions
21
Showing the largest 8 of 21
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Yandex (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffs
Aurora · YesValue$2KPnL+$21Avg48¢Current48.5¢4,106Shares
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?
YesValue$328PnL−$13Avg23.4¢Current22.5¢1,458.51Shares
Will Solana dip to $100 in September?
YesValue$10PnL−$14Avg8¢Current3.5¢299.99Shares
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in September?
YesValue$8PnL−$11Avg6.3¢Current2.6¢300Shares
Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
YesValue$5PnL−$57Avg3.1¢Current0.3¢2,000Shares
Singapore Open: Maria Sakkari vs Talia Gibson
Maria Sakkari · YesValue$0PnL−$13Avg13¢Current0¢100Shares
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs NRG - Map 2 Winner
NRG · NoValue$0PnL−$8Avg2.7¢Current0¢300Shares
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Vitality - Map 4 Winner
Aurora Gaming · YesValue$0PnL−$697Avg32¢Current0¢2,176.92Shares
Showing 8 of 21 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

Loading tracked activity…

Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet toshua: two-sided market-making flow, so no directional win rate is published, edge +29.2% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −33.3%, n=48 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (+30.1% over 43 fills); +$12.7K lifetime P&L, $3.4M traded, updated 2026-09-25.