PolyTrace
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Trader profile

dv-pm

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Profitable historically.

Lifetime PnL+$164.5KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate49.4%5,494 settled · past 90 days42 open · 61% underwater · 10 hours ago
Lifetime volume$26.5M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded6,133Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−1.6% / $95% interval −13.8% to +10.5%2,021 settled fills · 90d window
Sports
+0.1%n=1,960 settled
Unmapped
−45.9%n=61 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 3 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 49.4% · Decided 5,494 · 90d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded10 hours ago
Current position value
$35.3K
Snapshot cash PnL
−$861
Concentration
18%
Largest share of value
Positions
53
Showing the largest 8 of 53
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Spread: Chicago Cubs (-1.5)
Chicago Cubs · YesValue$6.3KPnL+$75Avg42¢Current42.5¢14,925.5Shares
Spread: Packers (-6.5)
Packers · YesValue$4.5KPnL−$353Avg48¢Current44.5¢10,086.75Shares
Spread: Seattle Mariners (-1.5)
Houston Astros · NoValue$3KPnL−$24Avg64¢Current63.5¢4,759Shares
Atlanta Dream vs. New York Liberty
Atlanta Dream · YesValue$2.7KPnL+$110Avg60¢Current62.5¢4,384.7Shares
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
YesValue$2.5KPnL+$1.3KAvg18.6¢Current38.5¢6,398.33Shares
Cleveland Guardians vs. Boston Red Sox
Boston Red Sox · NoValue$2.3KPnL+$20Avg56¢Current56.5¢4,082.25Shares
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Baltimore Orioles
Baltimore Orioles · NoValue$1.8KPnL+$824Avg54¢Current100¢1,791Shares
Falcons vs. Packers: O/U 43.5
Over · YesValue$1.7KPnL−$52Avg49¢Current47.5¢3,475Shares
Showing 8 of 53 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet dv-pm: 49.4% win rate over 5,494 resolved positions (last 90 days), edge −1.6% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −13.8%, n=2,021 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (+0.1% over 1,960 fills); +$164.5K lifetime P&L, $26.5M traded, updated 2026-09-23.