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Trader profile

HotSulphurMAGA

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Profitable historically.

Lifetime PnL+$19.8KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate—Not measured yet13 open · 34% underwater · 4 hours ago
Lifetime volume$158.9K593 trades · Polymarket
Markets traded287Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed

Not measured: fewer than 10 settled fills in the window. No edge is published for this wallet, and that is not a zero.

How this record is measured

This wallet's win rate has not been measured yet.

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded4 hours ago
Current position value
$8.1K
Snapshot cash PnL
−$1.9K
Concentration
65.8%
Largest share of value
Positions
33
Showing the largest 8 of 33
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
YesValue$5.3KPnL+$82Avg91.1¢Current92.5¢5,764.65Shares
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House
NoValue$1.1KPnL+$131Avg81.8¢Current92.5¢1,223.04Shares
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?
YesValue$432PnL+$132Avg66.1¢Current95.3¢453.81Shares
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?
NoValue$316PnL+$16Avg90.5¢Current95.2¢331.46Shares
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House
YesValue$283PnL−$17Avg32.3¢Current30.5¢928.58Shares
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
YesValue$180PnL+$30Avg32.2¢Current38.5¢466.53Shares
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
YesValue$162PnL−$38Avg48.6¢Current39.5¢411.29Shares
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
YesValue$92PnL+$22Avg44.1¢Current58¢158.89Shares
Showing 8 of 33 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

Loading tracked activity…

Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet HotSulphurMAGA: edge not yet scored (needs 10 settled fills); +$19.8K lifetime P&L, $158.9K traded, updated 2026-09-28.