PolyTrace
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Trader profile

geowatch

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Profitable historically.

Lifetime PnL+$4.6KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate—Not measured yet21 open · 29% underwater · 6 hours ago
Lifetime volume$176.4K391 trades · Polymarket
Markets traded261Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed

Not measured: fewer than 10 settled fills in the window. No edge is published for this wallet, and that is not a zero.

How this record is measured

This wallet's win rate has not been measured yet.

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded6 hours ago
Current position value
$6.2K
Snapshot cash PnL
−$2.2K
Concentration
32.5%
Largest share of value
Positions
83
Showing the largest 8 of 83
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before September 30, 2026
NoValue$2KPnL+$23Avg97.7¢Current98.9¢2,046.98Shares
Will Trump announce an acquisition of part of the Chagos Islands before 2027?
NoValue$1KPnL+$38Avg92.4¢Current96¢1,081.99Shares
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before October 31, 2026?
NoValue$1KPnL+$7Avg91.9¢Current92.5¢1,088.25Shares
Anthropic IPO before 2027?
YesValue$973PnL−$27Avg77.6¢Current75.5¢1,288.53Shares
Will any country expel a U.S. ambassador by December 31?
NoValue$302PnL+$2Avg75¢Current75.5¢400Shares
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?
NoValue$130PnL+$30Avg72.7¢Current94.5¢137.47Shares
Will a US ally get a nuke before 2027?
NoValue$112PnL+$12Avg84.1¢Current94.6¢118.9Shares
SBF released from custody in 2026?
NoValue$112PnL+$12Avg88¢Current98.2¢113.64Shares
Showing 8 of 83 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

Loading tracked activity…

Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet geowatch: edge not yet scored (needs 10 settled fills); +$4.6K lifetime P&L, $176.4K traded, updated 2026-09-24.