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Trader profile

Yirmeyahu

Market makers
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Market-making activity, measured as two-sided flow.

Lifetime PnL+$30.7KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Buy / sell split—Loading trading flow…10 open · 0% underwater · 8 hours ago
Lifetime volume$1.3M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded160Lifetime coverage
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−11.2% / $95% interval −314.9% to +292.5%37 settled fills · 90d window
Sports
+4.5%n=10 settled
Politics
−15.5%n=22 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 23 hours ago

How this record is measured

Two-sided market-making flow does not measure directional forecasting skill.

Observed activity

How this wallet provides liquidity

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded8 hours ago
Current position value
$89.9K
Snapshot cash PnL
+$6.6K
Concentration
58.7%
Largest share of value
Positions
22
Showing the largest 8 of 22
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
YesValue$52.7KPnL+$4.9KAvg84¢Current92.5¢57,003.37Shares
Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?
YesValue$8.5KPnL+$285Avg81.7¢Current84.5¢10,033.9Shares
Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?
NoValue$7KPnL+$707Avg78.7¢Current87.5¢8,024.72Shares
Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election?
YesValue$7KPnL+$2.4KAvg3.7¢Current5.7¢123,309.37Shares
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
YesValue$5.1KPnL+$166Avg75¢Current77.5¢6,592.52Shares
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?
YesValue$4.5KPnL+$501Avg64.8¢Current73¢6,118.89Shares
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
YesValue$3.1KPnL+$516Avg55.3¢Current66.5¢4,590.55Shares
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
YesValue$945PnL+$153Avg52.8¢Current63¢1,500Shares
Showing 8 of 22 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
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Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet Yirmeyahu: two-sided market-making flow, so no directional win rate is published, edge −11.2% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −314.9%, n=37 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (+4.5% over 10 fills); +$30.7K lifetime P&L, $1.3M traded, updated 2026-09-23.