PolyTrace
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Trader profile

imagination1

Directional

Historical record

Profitable historically.

Lifetime PnL+$136.4KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate49.9%687 settled · past 90 days5 open · 28% underwater · 1 day ago
Lifetime volume$7.1M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded1,231Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
+12.3% / $95% interval +1.7% to +22.8%498 settled fills · 90d window
Sports
+13.0%n=484 settled
Unmapped
−7.1%n=14 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 20 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 49.9% · Decided 687 · 90d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded1 day ago
Current position value
$12.9K
Snapshot cash PnL
−$1.1M
Concentration
96.2%
Largest share of value
Positions
510
Showing the largest 8 of 510
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Cloud9 · YesValue$12.4KPnL+$7.8KAvg37.3¢Current99.5¢12,512.48Shares
Cloud9 · YesValue$375PnL+$30Avg40¢Current43.5¢862.84Shares
Cloud9 · YesValue$111PnL−$100Avg37¢Current19.5¢571.27Shares
Cloud9 · YesValue$3PnL−$2KAvg40¢Current0.1¢5,000Shares
Cloud9 · YesValue$1PnL−$912Avg44¢Current0.1¢2,074.06Shares
Team Vitality · NoValue$0PnL−$3KAvg74.5¢Current0¢4,000Shares
Anyone's Legend · NoValue$0PnL−$583Avg58¢Current0¢1,004.83Shares
Team SpiritValue$0PnL−$1.4KAvg34¢Current0¢3,999.98Shares
Showing 8 of 510 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

Loading tracked activity…

Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet imagination1: 49.9% win rate over 687 resolved positions (last 90 days), edge +12.3% per $1 risked (95% lower bound +1.7%, n=498 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (+13.0% over 484 fills); +$136.4K lifetime P&L, $7.1M traded, updated 2026-09-27.