PolyTrace
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Trader profile

RUMBLED

Directional

Historical record

Profitable historically.

Lifetime PnL+$11.3KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate54.2%48 settled · past 90 days2 open · 100% underwater · 12 hours ago
Lifetime volume$630.6K693 trades · Polymarket
Markets traded281Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−10.6% / $95% interval −116.5% to +95.4%18 settled fills · 90d window
Politics
−5.5%n=13 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 19 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 54.2% · Decided 48 · 90d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded12 hours ago
Current position value
$5.4K
Snapshot cash PnL
−$6.6K
Concentration
92.4%
Largest share of value
Positions
14
Showing the largest 8 of 14
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
NoValue$5KPnL−$55Avg64.2¢Current63.5¢7,830.5Shares
NoValue$409PnL−$164Avg49.7¢Current35.5¢1,153.5Shares
YesValue$0PnL−$250Avg50¢Current0¢500Shares
YesValue$0PnL−$161Avg47¢Current0¢342.26Shares
UnderValue$0PnL−$200Avg44¢Current0¢454.55Shares
Under · NoValue$0PnL−$495Avg70¢Current0¢707.54Shares
Under · NoValue$0PnL−$223Avg34.9¢Current0¢641.04Shares
Toronto Blue Jays · NoValue$0PnL−$301Avg54¢Current0¢557.19Shares
Showing 8 of 14 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

Loading tracked activity…

Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet RUMBLED: 54.2% win rate over 48 resolved positions (last 90 days), edge −10.6% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −116.5%, n=18 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Politics (−5.5% over 13 fills); +$11.3K lifetime P&L, $630.6K traded, updated 2026-09-28.