Trader profile

GayPride

Market makers

Profile updated2026-09-27

Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗

Chrome

Historical record

Market-making activity, measured as two-sided flow.

Lifetime PnL+$652.2KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime

Buy / sell split—Loading trading flow…195 open · 38% underwater · 1 day ago

Lifetime volume$23.8M1,000+ trades · Polymarket

Markets traded577Lifetime coverage

Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed

−10.4% / $95% interval −48.6% to +27.8%27 settled fills · 90d window

Politics: −13.4%n=22 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 19 hours ago

How this record is measured

Two-sided market-making flow does not measure directional forecasting skill.

Observed activity

How this wallet provides liquidity

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Current holdings

Sources

Holdings use the current Polymarket portfolio snapshot.

Last loaded1 day ago

Current position value: $112.8K
Snapshot cash PnL: −$663.7K
Concentration: 13.6%
Positions: 572

EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares

Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

YesValue$15.3KPnL+$315Avg50¢Current51.1¢30,000Shares

Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

NoValue$14.7KPnL−$315Avg50¢Current48.9¢30,000Shares

US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?

NoValue$11KPnL+$7.8KAvg12.7¢Current43.4¢25,318.98Shares

Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

YesValue$7.2KPnL+$6.9KAvg0.6¢Current13.1¢55,197.37Shares

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?

YesValue$3.7KPnL−$1.3KAvg11.6¢Current8.5¢43,046.47Shares

Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?

NoValue$3.5KPnL+$1.2KAvg40.4¢Current61.5¢5,661.81Shares

Will the Democratic Party win the CA-49 House seat?

YesValue$3.1KPnL+$84Avg93¢Current95.5¢3,284.06Shares

Israel closes its airspace by September 30?

YesValue$3.1KPnL+$1.4KAvg56¢Current100¢3,117.03Shares

Showing 8 of 572 positions by current value

Results by category

Sources

Category results use decided positions from the last 90 days.

Results

Exposure

Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

Loading tracked activity…

Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

10 days ago

BUYNO

355+ · 94.2¢

United Russia seats in the next Russian legislative election?Open market →$2.4K

Open

10 days ago

BUYNO

340–354 · 69¢

United Russia seats in the next Russian legislative election?Open market →$1K

Open

10 days ago

SELLNO

310–324 · 86.6¢

United Russia seats in the next Russian legislative election?Open market →$1.8K

12 days ago

SELLNO

September 30 · 87¢

Iran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by...?Open market →$1.3K

Reduce

12 days ago

SELLNO

September 30 · 85¢

Iran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by...?Open market →$1.9K

About this wallet

Wallet GayPride: two-sided market-making flow, so no directional win rate is published, edge −10.4% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −48.6%, n=27 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Politics (−13.4% over 22 fills); +$652.2K lifetime P&L, $23.8M traded, updated 2026-09-27.