PolyTrace
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Trader profile

0x54ba…04e4

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Loss-making historically.

Lifetime PnL−$273KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate35.8%942 settled · past 90 days1 open · 0% underwater · 8 minutes ago
Lifetime volume$11.8M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded1,238Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−8.6% / $95% interval −37.9% to +20.6%1,378 settled fills · 90d window
Sports
−8.6%n=1,378 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 21 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 35.8% · Decided 942 · 90d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Complete8 minutes ago
Current position value
$1.2K
Snapshot cash PnL
−$1.2M
Concentration
100%
Largest share of value
Positions
706
Showing the largest 8 of 706
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Korea Open: Yexin Ma vs Kimberly Birrell
Yexin Ma · YesValue$1.2KPnL+$1.2KAvg0¢Current37.5¢3,313.05Shares
Rennes: Finn Bass vs Clement Chidekh
Finn Bass · YesValue$0PnL−$650Avg8¢Current0¢8,125Shares
Plovdiv 4: Sebastian Gima vs Jonas Forejtek
Sebastian Gima · YesValue$0PnL−$1.6KAvg35.5¢Current0¢4,557.22Shares
Roland Garros ATP: Vit Kopriva vs Corentin Moutet
Corentin Moutet · NoValue$0PnL−$3.3KAvg52¢Current0¢6,346.15Shares
Connecticut Sun vs. Seattle Storm
Seattle Storm · NoValue$0PnL−$1KAvg48.6¢Current0¢2,058.53Shares
Vancouver: Jay Dylan Friend vs J.J. Wolf
Jay Dylan Friend · YesValue$0PnL−$210Avg6.2¢Current0¢3,414.14Shares
Will Jeju SK FC win on 2026-05-09?
NoValue$0PnL−$1.2KAvg51.8¢Current0¢2,392Shares
Swiss Open: Jaime Faria vs Stan Wawrinka
Stan Wawrinka · NoValue$0PnL−$4.4KAvg43.9¢Current0¢10,038.6Shares
Showing 8 of 706 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet 0x54bab0bc94667af224e21528804d49c1b87e04e4: 35.8% win rate over 942 resolved positions (last 90 days), edge −8.6% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −37.9%, n=1,378 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (−8.6% over 1,378 fills); −$273K lifetime P&L, $11.8M traded, updated 2026-09-24.