PolyTrace
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Trader profile

pup1

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Profitable historically.

Lifetime PnL+$250.2KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate37.7%595 settled · past 90 days26 open · 74% underwater · 3 hours ago
Lifetime volume$58.5M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded272Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−14.2% / $95% interval −58.3% to +29.8%772 settled fills · 90d window
Finance
−5.7%n=113 settled
Sports
−15.2%n=537 settled
Politics
−18.6%n=120 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 4 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 37.7% · Decided 595 · 90d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded3 hours ago
Current position value
$61K
Snapshot cash PnL
−$14.9K
Concentration
40.5%
Largest share of value
Positions
34
Showing the largest 8 of 34
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
NoValue$24.7KPnL−$234Avg71.2¢Current70.5¢35,000.01Shares
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
NoValue$8.7KPnL+$333Avg83.2¢Current86.5¢10,000Shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
YesValue$6.5KPnL−$426Avg22.9¢Current21.5¢30,000Shares
Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year?
NoValue$5.2KPnL+$306Avg89.8¢Current95.5¢5,394.04Shares
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?
YesValue$3.7KPnL−$306Avg26.5¢Current24.5¢14,939.35Shares
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?
NoValue$3.5KPnL+$283Avg81.4¢Current88.5¢3,999.97Shares
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?
YesValue$3.5KPnL+$192Avg65.7¢Current69.5¢5,000Shares
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?
YesValue$1.9KPnL−$150Avg34¢Current31.5¢6,000Shares
Showing 8 of 34 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet pup1: 37.7% win rate over 595 resolved positions (last 90 days), edge −14.2% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −58.3%, n=772 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Finance (−5.7% over 113 fills); +$250.2K lifetime P&L, $58.5M traded, updated 2026-09-24.