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Trader profile

DavidShekel

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Profitable historically.

Lifetime PnL+$197.3KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate58.6%1,268 settled · past 90 days83 open · 59% underwater · 16 hours ago
Lifetime volume$20.4M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded922Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
+6.1% / $95% interval −5.6% to +17.8%394 settled fills · 90d window
Sports
+6.1%n=394 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 20 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 58.6% · Decided 1,268 · 90d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded16 hours ago
Current position value
$136K
Snapshot cash PnL
−$436.7K
Concentration
40.7%
Largest share of value
Positions
2,618
Showing the largest 8 of 2,618
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
NoValue$55.4KPnL+$20.4KAvg50¢Current79.1¢70,061.23Shares
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
NoValue$46KPnL+$22.9KAvg50¢Current99.6¢46,246Shares
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
YesValue$14.7KPnL−$20.4KAvg50¢Current21¢70,061.23Shares
Will Philadelphia Union win the 2026 MLS Cup?
NoValue$8.5KPnL+$90Avg94.6¢Current95.7¢8,930.19Shares
Will Kosovo win 2026-27 Nations League Group B3?
NoValue$1.6KPnL−$36Avg83¢Current81.2¢2,000Shares
Will San Diego Padres win the 2026 National League Championship Series?
NoValue$1.3KPnL+$7Avg91.1¢Current91.6¢1,381.29Shares
Will Manchester City finish in the top 2 of the 2026-27 English Premier League season?
YesValue$840PnL−$540Avg69¢Current42¢1,999.97Shares
Will Isack Hadjar win the 2026 F1 Azerbaijan Grand Prix?
NoValue$837PnL+$2Avg98.8¢Current99¢845.38Shares
Showing 8 of 2,618 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

Loading tracked activity…

Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet DavidShekel: 58.6% win rate over 1,268 resolved positions (last 90 days), edge +6.1% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −5.6%, n=394 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (+6.1% over 394 fills); +$197.3K lifetime P&L, $20.4M traded, updated 2026-09-26.