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Trader profile

kaiserfranz44

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Loss-making historically.

Lifetime PnL−$13.5KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate—Trade history could not be loaded2 open · 74% underwater · 11 hours ago
Lifetime volume$737.8K211 trades · Polymarket
Markets traded115Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−11.5% / $95% interval −213.8% to +190.8%215 settled fills · 90d window
Sports
−2.6%n=113 settled
Unmapped
−19.8%n=102 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 24 hours ago

How this record is measured

Settled-position history could not be loaded.

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded11 hours ago
Current position value
$5.1K
Snapshot cash PnL
−$53.8K
Concentration
60.9%
Largest share of value
Positions
27
Showing the largest 8 of 27
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Washington Nationals vs. Detroit Tigers
Washington Nationals · YesValue$3.1KPnL+$132Avg57¢Current59.5¢5,263.16Shares
Bahamas vs. Saint-Martin: Both Teams to Score
YesValue$2KPnL−$383Avg55.4¢Current46.5¢4,328.24Shares
Olympique Lyonnais vs. Stade Rennais FC 1901: Both Teams to Score
YesValue$0PnL−$2.4KAvg65.7¢Current0¢3,670.52Shares
CD Castellón vs. CD Tenerife: Both Teams to Score
YesValue$0PnL−$2.4KAvg52.8¢Current0¢4,572.18Shares
Manchester United FC vs. Manchester City FC: Both Teams to Score
YesValue$0PnL−$2.3KAvg66¢Current0¢3,484.85Shares
1. FC Kaiserslautern vs. Eintracht Braunschweig: O/U 2.5
Over · YesValue$0PnL−$2.4KAvg60.8¢Current0¢3,967.51Shares
Nottingham Forest FC vs. Coventry City FC: O/U 2.5
Over · YesValue$0PnL−$2.4KAvg54¢Current0¢4,468.52Shares
SC Braga vs. Estoril Praia: O/U 2.5
OverValue$0PnL−$2.3KAvg57.4¢Current0¢4,076.23Shares
Showing 8 of 27 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet kaiserfranz44: edge −11.5% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −213.8%, n=215 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (−2.6% over 113 fills); −$13.5K lifetime P&L, $737.8K traded, updated 2026-09-23.