PolyTrace
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Trader profile

0x540d…c8f9

Market makers
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Market-making activity, measured as two-sided flow.

Lifetime PnL+$74KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Buy / sell split—Loading trading flow…0 open · 1 day ago
Lifetime volume$3.6M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded521Lifetime coverage
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−3.5% / $95% interval −209.1% to +202.2%157 settled fills · 90d window
Sports
−3.5%n=157 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 5 hours ago

How this record is measured

Two-sided market-making flow does not measure directional forecasting skill.

Observed activity

How this wallet provides liquidity

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded9 hours ago
Current position value
$0
Snapshot cash PnL
−$15.1K
Concentration
—
Largest share of value
Positions
30
Showing the largest 8 of 30
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Dota 2: Team Syntax vs Habibis - Game 1 Winner
Habibis · NoValue$0PnL−$333Avg50¢Current0¢666Shares
Dota 2: Yakult Brothers vs Game Master - Game 1 Winner
Game Master · NoValue$0PnL−$358Avg52.8¢Current0¢678.64Shares
Dota 2: GamerLegion vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winner
GamerLegion · YesValue$0PnL−$785Avg63.5¢Current0¢1,235.89Shares
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Yakult Brothers (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage
Yakult Brothers · NoValue$0PnL−$289Avg17.1¢Current0¢1,687.56Shares
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs MOUZ - Game 2 Winner
Team Yandex · YesValue$0PnL−$217Avg52¢Current0¢416.47Shares
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs PlayTime - Game 1 Winner
Nigma Galaxy · YesValue$0PnL−$1.2KAvg56.5¢Current0¢2,104.77Shares
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Rune Eaters - Game 1 Winner
Rune Eaters · NoValue$0PnL−$1.4KAvg67¢Current0¢2,023.66Shares
Spain vs. Austria: O/U 10.5 Total Corners
Over · YesValue$0PnL−$338Avg49¢Current0¢689.8Shares
Showing 8 of 30 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet 0x540d7ca774ceee03806de41df88fad996351c8f9: two-sided market-making flow, so no directional win rate is published, edge −3.5% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −209.1%, n=157 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (−3.5% over 157 fills); +$74K lifetime P&L, $3.6M traded, updated 2026-09-24.