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Trader profile

martingaleking

Directional

Historical record

Loss-making historically.

Lifetime PnL−$72.3KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate—Only 18 settled so far0 open · 16 hours ago
Lifetime volume$5.1M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded73Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−2.1% / $95% interval −17.2% to +13.0%66 settled fills · 90d window
Sports
−2.1%n=66 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 16 hours ago

How this record is measured

Too few positions have settled to establish a win-rate record.

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded16 hours ago
Current position value
$0
Snapshot cash PnL
−$675.6K
Concentration
—
Largest share of value
Positions
18
Showing the largest 8 of 18
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
YesValue$0PnL−$23.4KAvg63.6¢Current0¢36,785.07Shares
Over · YesValue$0PnL−$28.1KAvg51¢Current0¢55,000Shares
Carlos Alcaraz · NoValue$0PnL−$57.2KAvg71.5¢Current0¢79,999.93Shares
Los Angeles Dodgers · NoValue$0PnL−$15KAvg68¢Current0¢22,000Shares
Spurs · NoValue$0PnL−$39KAvg78¢Current0¢50,000Shares
Spurs · NoValue$0PnL−$16KAvg80¢Current0¢20,000Shares
Alex Pereira · NoValue$0PnL−$26.5KAvg53¢Current0¢50,000Shares
Spurs · YesValue$0PnL−$23KAvg46¢Current0¢50,000Shares
Showing 8 of 18 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

Loading tracked activity…

Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet martingaleking: edge −2.1% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −17.2%, n=66 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (−2.1% over 66 fills); −$72.3K lifetime P&L, $5.1M traded, updated 2026-09-28.