PolyTrace
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Trader profile

Mac-Gyver

Directional

Historical record

Profitable historically.

Lifetime PnL+$34.8KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate22.1%299 settled · past 180 days34 open · 40% underwater · 10 hours ago
Lifetime volume$3.4M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded386Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnLLoading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−41.7% / $95% interval −272.9% to +189.6%186 settled fills · 90d window
Sports
+13.8%n=15 settled
Unmapped
−14.0%n=18 settled
Politics
−25.3%n=62 settled
Culture
−59.6%n=79 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 24 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 22.1% · Decided 299 · 180d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded10 hours ago
Current position value
$57.1K
Snapshot cash PnL
−$143.4K
Concentration
17.1%
Largest share of value
Positions
373
Showing the largest 8 of 373
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
NoValue$9.8KPnL+$4.2KAvg46.4¢Current82¢11,937.71Shares
NoValue$7.1KPnL+$3.6KAvg46.7¢Current93.5¢7,598.39Shares
NoValue$5.4KPnL−$2KAvg50.2¢Current36.5¢14,836.31Shares
YesValue$5.1KPnL+$384Avg20.9¢Current22.6¢22,348.01Shares
NoValue$4.5KPnL+$1.1KAvg17.5¢Current23¢19,466.49Shares
NoValue$3.9KPnL+$2.5KAvg34.5¢Current96.6¢4,051.29Shares
YesValue$3.7KPnL+$724Avg42.7¢Current53¢7,043.84Shares
NoValue$2.8KPnL+$726Avg62.2¢Current84.3¢3,279.85Shares
Showing 8 of 373 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet Mac-Gyver: 22.1% win rate over 299 resolved positions (last 180 days), edge −41.7% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −272.9%, n=186 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (+13.8% over 15 fills); +$34.8K lifetime P&L, $3.4M traded, updated 2026-09-23.