PolyTrace
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Trader profile

back-in-whack

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Profitable historically.

Lifetime PnL+$48.5KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate58.6%29 settled · past 90 days36 open · 23% underwater · 1 day ago
Lifetime volume$9.8M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded321Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−16.6% / $95% interval −253.2% to +220.1%61 settled fills · 90d window
Politics
−16.6%n=61 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 15 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 58.6% · Decided 29 · 90d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded1 day ago
Current position value
$64.6K
Snapshot cash PnL
−$117.1K
Concentration
70%
Largest share of value
Positions
261
Showing the largest 8 of 261
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?
NoValue$45.2KPnL+$9.1KAvg79.5¢Current99.7¢45,320.96Shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
NoValue$6.1KPnL+$133Avg78.8¢Current80.5¢7,630Shares
Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in September?
NoValue$4.5KPnL+$2.9KAvg24.2¢Current67.5¢6,615.03Shares
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?
YesValue$1.5KPnL+$663Avg19.6¢Current34.5¢4,453.99Shares
Crypto Market Structure legislation becomes law in 2026?
NoValue$985PnL+$60Avg86.4¢Current92¢1,070.95Shares
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026?
YesValue$893PnL−$1.9KAvg33.1¢Current10.5¢8,509.01Shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?
NoValue$832PnL+$10Avg87¢Current88¢944.99Shares
Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026?
NoValue$595PnL+$17Avg61.7¢Current63.5¢937.04Shares
Showing 8 of 261 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet back-in-whack: 58.6% win rate over 29 resolved positions (last 90 days), edge −16.6% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −253.2%, n=61 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Politics (−16.6% over 61 fills); +$48.5K lifetime P&L, $9.8M traded, updated 2026-09-27.