PolyTrace
← Back to wallets

Trader profile

Notradecopy

Directional

Historical record

Loss-making historically.

Lifetime PnL−$808Polymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate46.4%4,650 settled · past 90 days31 open · 56% underwater · 3 hours ago
Lifetime volume$7.3M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded5,018Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−22.1% / $95% interval −74.0% to +29.7%52 settled fills · 90d window
Sports
−22.1%n=52 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 15 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 46.4% · Decided 4,650 · 90d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded3 hours ago
Current position value
$4.8K
Snapshot cash PnL
−$856.7K
Concentration
12.1%
Largest share of value
Positions
4,302
Showing the largest 8 of 4,302
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
YesValue$578PnL+$28Avg40¢Current42¢1,375Shares
Xinran Sun · NoValue$566PnL−$34Avg31.2¢Current29.5¢1,919.96Shares
Sri Lanka · YesValue$562PnL−$38Avg60.3¢Current56.5¢994.61Shares
Franco Roncadelli · NoValue$526PnL+$29Avg43¢Current45.5¢1,156.49Shares
Samsung Lions · YesValue$512PnL−$88Avg59¢Current50.3¢1,016.94Shares
Jose Pereira · NoValue$511PnL−$39Avg49¢Current45.5¢1,122.44Shares
NoValue$392PnL+$125Avg49¢Current72¢544.21Shares
YesValue$162PnL+$102Avg37¢Current100¢162.14Shares
Showing 8 of 4,302 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

Loading tracked activity…

Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet Notradecopy: 46.4% win rate over 4,650 resolved positions (last 90 days), edge −22.1% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −74.0%, n=52 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (−22.1% over 52 fills); −$808 lifetime P&L, $7.3M traded, updated 2026-09-28.