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Trader profile

kozelblack

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Profitable historically.

Lifetime PnL+$14.5KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate99%1,389 settled · past 90 days7 open · 99% underwater · 4 hours ago
Lifetime volume$2.8M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded4,163Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−21.9% / $95% interval −637.5% to +593.6%37 settled fills · 90d window
Sports
−21.9%n=37 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 24 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 99% · Decided 1,389 · 90d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded4 hours ago
Current position value
$706
Snapshot cash PnL
−$7.5K
Concentration
69.5%
Largest share of value
Positions
33
Showing the largest 8 of 33
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Games Total: O/U 2.5
Over · YesValue$491PnL+$5Avg99¢Current100¢491.02Shares
Counter-Strike: Zomblers vs Club 333 - Map 1 Winner
Club 333Value$205PnL+$1Avg99¢Current99.5¢206.4Shares
Counter-Strike: paiN Academy vs Grêmio Esports - Map 1 Winner
Grêmio EsportsValue$6PnL−$1Avg98.3¢Current81.9¢7.57Shares
Map 3: Odd/Even Total Rounds?
EvenValue$3PnL−$3Avg99¢Current50.1¢5.58Shares
Counter-Strike: GoldRashers vs ZOTIX (BO1) - ESEA Advanced Europe Regular Season
ZOTIX · NoValue$0.50PnL−$0.06Avg56.5¢Current50¢1Shares
Counter-Strike: BESTIA Academy vs Rush - Map 1 Winner
Rush · NoValue$0.28PnL−$546Avg99¢Current0.1¢552Shares
Counter-Strike: BESTIA Academy vs Rush - Map 2 Winner
BESTIA Academy · YesValue$0.27PnL−$540Avg99¢Current0.1¢545.99Shares
Total Kills Over/Under 71.5 in Game 2?
UnderValue$0PnL−$50Avg99¢Current0¢50Shares
Showing 8 of 33 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet kozelblack: 99% win rate over 1,389 resolved positions (last 90 days), edge −21.9% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −637.5%, n=37 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (−21.9% over 37 fills); +$14.5K lifetime P&L, $2.8M traded, updated 2026-09-24.