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Trader profile

Mgd11

Market makers
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Market-making activity, measured as two-sided flow.

Lifetime PnL−$19.4KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Buy / sell split—Loading trading flow…0 open · 7 days ago
Lifetime volume$1.1M901 trades · Polymarket
Markets traded310Lifetime coverage
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−13.6% / $95% interval −224.9% to +197.8%104 settled fills · 90d window
Sports
−13.5%n=98 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 15 hours ago

How this record is measured

Two-sided market-making flow does not measure directional forecasting skill.

Observed activity

How this wallet provides liquidity

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded2 hours ago
Current position value
$0
Snapshot cash PnL
−$31.2K
Concentration
—
Largest share of value
Positions
67
Showing the largest 8 of 67
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 2.5
Over · YesValue$0PnL−$100Avg61¢Current0¢163.93Shares
LoL: T1 Academy vs KT Rolster Challengers - Game 1 Winner
T1 Academy · YesValue$0PnL−$100Avg44¢Current0¢227.07Shares
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs FaZe (+1.5)
FaZe · NoValue$0PnL−$462Avg52¢Current0¢888Shares
LoL: MIBR.LOS vs LYON - Game 2 Winner
LYON · NoValue$0PnL−$288Avg58.1¢Current0¢496.03Shares
VfL Osnabrück vs. FC Bayern München: Both Teams to Score
NoValue$0PnL−$168Avg51.2¢Current0¢328.82Shares
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports Challengers vs HANJIN BRION Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 3-4 Trial Group
Hanwha Life Esports Challengers · YesValue$0PnL−$157Avg61¢Current0¢257.7Shares
LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs Dplus KIA Challengers (BO5) - Asia Masters Playoffs
KT Rolster Challengers · YesValue$0PnL−$541Avg58¢Current0¢932.91Shares
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 2 Winner
Invictus GamingValue$0PnL−$198Avg27.1¢Current0¢732.55Shares
Showing 8 of 67 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet Mgd11: two-sided market-making flow, so no directional win rate is published, edge −13.6% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −224.9%, n=104 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (−13.5% over 98 fills); −$19.4K lifetime P&L, $1.1M traded, updated 2026-09-28.