PolyTrace
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Trader profile

0x515e…ec0d

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Loss-making historically.

Lifetime PnL−$4.8KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate75.7%70 settled · past 180 days10 open · 64% underwater · 2 days ago
Lifetime volume$78.5K484 trades · Polymarket
Markets traded80Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed

Not measured: fewer than 10 settled fills in the window. No edge is published for this wallet, and that is not a zero.

How this record is measured

Win rate 75.7% · Decided 70 · 180d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded2 days ago
Current position value
$9.8K
Snapshot cash PnL
−$155
Concentration
55.2%
Largest share of value
Positions
10
Showing the largest 8 of 10
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
NoValue$5.4KPnL+$144Avg96.8¢Current99.5¢5,454.06Shares
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1480?
YesValue$2.4KPnL−$8Avg94.7¢Current94.4¢2,552.95Shares
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
NoValue$996PnL−$194Avg89.1¢Current74.6¢1,334.84Shares
Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?
NoValue$594PnL+$45Avg92.3¢Current99.9¢595.21Shares
Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026?
YesValue$292PnL−$70Avg26.7¢Current21.5¢1,356.29Shares
Will Natalie Harp be the next White House Press Secretary?
NoValue$75PnL+$0.47Avg96.6¢Current97.2¢77.01Shares
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
YesValue$15PnL+$1Avg2.5¢Current2.8¢542.29Shares
Will the Republicans win the Idaho Senate race in 2026?
YesValue$7PnL−$0.22Avg93¢Current90.3¢7.9Shares
Showing 8 of 10 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet 0x515e8e9b806a388a51808e2bc5cd92dc11bbec0d: 75.7% win rate over 70 resolved positions (last 180 days), edge not yet scored (needs 10 settled fills); −$4.8K lifetime P&L, $78.5K traded, updated 2026-09-27.