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Trader profile

bullishkirby

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Loss-making historically.

Lifetime PnL−$110.2KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate73.7%152 settled · past 90 days6 open · 74% underwater · 14 hours ago
Lifetime volume$7M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded201Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−1.2% / $95% interval −166.0% to +163.6%105 settled fills · 90d window
Finance
+23.4%n=37 settled
Unmapped
+3.3%n=10 settled
Politics
−15.4%n=30 settled
Sports
−17.5%n=28 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

Measured 2 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 73.7% · Decided 152 · 90d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded14 hours ago
Current position value
$112K
Snapshot cash PnL
−$377.2K
Concentration
45.8%
Largest share of value
Positions
32
Showing the largest 8 of 32
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
NoValue$51.3KPnL+$1.5KAvg83¢Current85.5¢60,000.08Shares
Iran full airspace closure by September 30?
NoValue$30.3KPnL+$2.7KAvg88.2¢Current96.7¢31,359.52Shares
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
NoValue$18.5KPnL−$9.6KAvg11.4¢Current7.5¢246,100.52Shares
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House
YesValue$10.6KPnL−$2.1KAvg9¢Current7.5¢141,273.38Shares
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
YesValue$1.2KPnL−$109Avg29¢Current26.5¢4,356Shares
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
YesValue$182PnL−$134Avg13¢Current7.5¢2,427.39Shares
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 16, 2026?
NoValue$0PnL−$2KAvg88¢Current0¢2,249.86Shares
Will Hanwha Life Esports win MSI 2026?
NoValue$0PnL−$192Avg58¢Current0¢331.1Shares
Showing 8 of 32 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet bullishkirby: 73.7% win rate over 152 resolved positions (last 90 days), edge −1.2% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −166.0%, n=105 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Finance (+23.4% over 37 fills); −$110.2K lifetime P&L, $7M traded, updated 2026-09-23.