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Trader profile

lightningbolts

Market makers

Historical record

Market-making activity, measured as two-sided flow.

Lifetime PnL+$64.8KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Buy / sell split—Loading trading flow…4 open · 48% underwater · 1 day ago
Lifetime volume$914K1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded725Lifetime coverage
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
+15.4% / $95% interval −9.1% to +40.0%66 settled fills · 90d window
Unmapped
+13.3%n=26 settled
Sports
+12.9%n=40 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 15 hours ago

How this record is measured

Two-sided market-making flow does not measure directional forecasting skill.

Observed activity

How this wallet provides liquidity

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded1 day ago
Current position value
$2.8K
Snapshot cash PnL
−$63K
Concentration
79.6%
Largest share of value
Positions
209
Showing the largest 8 of 209
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
LOS · YesValue$2.2KPnL+$382Avg51¢Current61.5¢3,636.05Shares
Karmine Corp Blue · YesValue$572PnL+$137Avg76¢Current100¢572Shares
ROSSMANN Centaurs · NoValue$0.63PnL+$0.35Avg44¢Current100¢0.63Shares
E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTSValue$0.56PnL+$0.18Avg67¢Current100¢0.56Shares
Dplus KIA · NoValue$0.55PnL+$0.17Avg70¢Current100¢0.55Shares
Ei Nerd Esports · NoValue$0.37PnL+$0.16Avg56¢Current100¢0.37Shares
Forsaken · YesValue$0.34PnL−$477Avg70¢Current0.1¢682Shares
Bushido WildcatsValue$0.14PnL+$0.06Avg55¢Current100¢0.14Shares
Showing 8 of 209 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

Loading tracked activity…

Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet lightningbolts: two-sided market-making flow, so no directional win rate is published, edge +15.4% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −9.1%, n=66 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (+12.9% over 40 fills); +$64.8K lifetime P&L, $914K traded, updated 2026-09-27.