PolyTrace
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Trader profile

Bigggggggg

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Profitable historically.

Lifetime PnL+$519.7KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate30.8%12,468 settled · past 90 days342 open · 94% underwater · 15 hours ago
Lifetime volume$33.3M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded1,495Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
+3.3% / $95% interval −6.0% to +12.6%1,024 settled fills · 90d window
Sports
+5.8%n=483 settled
Unmapped
+4.9%n=12 settled
Finance
+4.0%n=268 settled
Culture
+2.0%n=40 settled
Politics
−2.8%n=212 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 1 hour ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 30.8% · Decided 12,468 · 90d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Top 5,000
Last loaded15 hours ago

This snapshot reached the 5,000-position product limit. Showing up to 5,000 positions by size.

Current position value
$3.8K
Based on Top 5,000 positions
Snapshot cash PnL
−$414.6K
Based on Top 5,000 positions
Concentration
20.1%
Largest share of value
Positions
5,000
Showing the largest 8 of 5,000
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Will Madrid host the final of the 2030 FIFA World Cup?
YesValue$763PnL+$403Avg18.2¢Current38.5¢1,980.63Shares
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?
YesValue$610PnL+$444Avg7.5¢Current27.5¢2,218.57Shares
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening week in 2026?
YesValue$595PnL+$574Avg1.5¢Current42.5¢1,399.74Shares
Aaron Taylor-Johnson announced as next James Bond?
NoValue$295PnL−$2Avg99.8¢Current99.3¢297Shares
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
YesValue$103PnL+$87Avg1¢Current6.5¢1,587.86Shares
Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?
YesValue$102PnL+$81Avg2.4¢Current11.5¢888.22Shares
Will Gen.G win Worlds 2026?
YesValue$98PnL+$85Avg5¢Current37.5¢261Shares
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.75T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?
YesValue$94PnL+$40Avg9.5¢Current16.5¢572.27Shares
Showing 8 of 5,000 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

Loading tracked activity…

Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet Bigggggggg: 30.8% win rate over 12,468 resolved positions (last 90 days), edge +3.3% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −6.0%, n=1,024 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (+5.8% over 483 fills); +$519.7K lifetime P&L, $33.3M traded, updated 2026-09-23.