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Trader profile

Logan.

Market makers
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Market-making activity, measured as two-sided flow.

Lifetime PnL+$354.5KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Buy / sell split—Loading trading flow…110 open · 21% underwater · 3 days ago
Lifetime volume$25.3M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded381Lifetime coverage
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−6.9% / $95% interval −216.9% to +203.2%61 settled fills · 90d window
Culture
+45.2%n=15 settled
Politics
−45.9%n=39 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 14 hours ago

How this record is measured

Two-sided market-making flow does not measure directional forecasting skill.

Observed activity

How this wallet provides liquidity

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded3 days ago
Current position value
$33.6K
Snapshot cash PnL
−$41.2K
Concentration
17.7%
Largest share of value
Positions
153
Showing the largest 8 of 153
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?
YesValue$6KPnL+$6KAvg0¢Current64.5¢9,236.23Shares
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?
NoValue$4.6KPnL+$1.7KAvg45.7¢Current73.5¢6,198.02Shares
Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?
NoValue$3.6KPnL+$2.3KAvg35.9¢Current97.5¢3,735.29Shares
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?
NoValue$3.2KPnL+$499Avg57.7¢Current68.5¢4,643.49Shares
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
YesValue$2.1KPnL+$983Avg46.7¢Current87.2¢2,431.78Shares
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
NoValue$1.8KPnL+$255Avg52¢Current60.5¢3,000Shares
Insurrection Act invoked by December 31?
NoValue$1.8KPnL+$316Avg70.9¢Current86¢2,091.19Shares
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
YesValue$1.8KPnL+$1.4KAvg23.4¢Current96.6¢1,846.62Shares
Showing 8 of 153 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
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Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet Logan.: two-sided market-making flow, so no directional win rate is published, edge −6.9% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −216.9%, n=61 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Culture (+45.2% over 15 fills); +$354.5K lifetime P&L, $25.3M traded, updated 2026-09-26.