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Trader profile

shugafa

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Loss-making historically.

Lifetime PnL−$2.1KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate—Not measured yet41 open · 4% underwater · 2 days ago
Lifetime volume$2M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded10,848Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−9.8% / $95% interval −25.3% to +5.7%14 settled fills · 90d window

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

Measured 22 hours ago

How this record is measured

This wallet's win rate has not been measured yet.

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded2 days ago
Current position value
$3.2K
Snapshot cash PnL
−$1.8K
Concentration
30.6%
Largest share of value
Positions
85
Showing the largest 8 of 85
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Will the price of Solana be between $110 and $120 on September 22?
YesValue$994PnL+$994Avg0¢Current99.4¢1,001Shares
Will the Democratic Party win the CA-34 House seat?
YesValue$102PnL+$2Avg97.7¢Current99.7¢102.35Shares
Counter-Strike: Misa Esports vs 6666 - Map 2 Winner
Misa Esports · YesValue$100PnL+$0.05Avg99.9¢Current100¢100.1Shares
Counter-Strike: Rare Atom vs Legion (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Asia-Pacific Cup #2 Playoffs
Legion · NoValue$100PnL+$0.05Avg99.9¢Current100¢100.1Shares
Will White House post 200+ posts from September 15 to September 22, 2026?
YesValue$100PnL+$0.05Avg99.9¢Current100¢100.1Shares
Will Alexey Timoshkov win the 2026 Bryansk Oblast gubernatorial elections?
NoValue$100PnL+$0.05Avg99.9¢Current100¢100.1Shares
Will Ruslan Titov win the 2026 Bryansk Oblast gubernatorial elections?
NoValue$100PnL+$0.05Avg99.9¢Current100¢100Shares
Will NYC Mayor post 40-59 posts from September 15 to September 22, 2026?
NoValue$100PnL−$0.05Avg99.7¢Current99.7¢100.3Shares
Showing 8 of 85 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

Loading tracked activity…

Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet shugafa: edge −9.8% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −25.3%, n=14 settled fills over 90 days); −$2.1K lifetime P&L, $2M traded, updated 2026-09-22.