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Trader profile

mathrex

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Loss-making historically.

Lifetime PnL−$15.9KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate86.7%45 settled · past 90 days10 open · 6% underwater · 10 hours ago
Lifetime volume$180.6K135 trades · Polymarket
Markets traded68Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
+1.1% / $95% interval −25.6% to +27.8%12 settled fills · 90d window

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

Measured 14 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 86.7% · Decided 45 · 90d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded10 hours ago
Current position value
$17.4K
Snapshot cash PnL
−$8.8K
Concentration
27.2%
Largest share of value
Positions
16
Showing the largest 8 of 16
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by September 30?
NoValue$4.7KPnL+$721Avg83.5¢Current98.6¢4,788Shares
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?
YesValue$2.2KPnL+$172Avg91.8¢Current99.8¢2,177.5Shares
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by October 31?
NoValue$2KPnL+$39Avg91.7¢Current93.5¢2,181.24Shares
Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30?
NoValue$1.9KPnL+$349Avg68.6¢Current83.5¢2,333.61Shares
Another critical Cloudflare incident by August 31, 2026?
NoValue$1.6KPnL+$451Avg71.1¢Current98.9¢1,624.77Shares
ChatGPT Full Outage by September 30?
NoValue$1.5KPnL+$196Avg78.1¢Current89.8¢1,677.73Shares
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?
NoValue$1.4KPnL−$154Avg78¢Current70.5¢2,051.28Shares
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?
NoValue$856PnL+$6Avg84.9¢Current85.5¢1,001.36Shares
Showing 8 of 16 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

Loading tracked activity…

Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet mathrex: 86.7% win rate over 45 resolved positions (last 90 days), edge +1.1% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −25.6%, n=12 settled fills over 90 days); −$15.9K lifetime P&L, $180.6K traded, updated 2026-09-28.