Trader profile

0x507c…85ef

Market makers

Profile updated2026-09-26

Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗

Chrome

Historical record

Market-making activity, measured as two-sided flow.

Lifetime PnL−$120.4KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime

Buy / sell split—Loading trading flow…0 open · 8 days ago

Lifetime volume$1.6M825 trades · Polymarket

Markets traded225Lifetime coverage

Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed

−17.2% / $95% interval −34.6% to +0.3%127 settled fills · 90d window

Sports: −12.1%n=111 settled
Crypto: −29.5%n=16 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 14 hours ago

How this record is measured

Two-sided market-making flow does not measure directional forecasting skill.

Observed activity

How this wallet provides liquidity

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Current holdings

Sources

Holdings use the current Polymarket portfolio snapshot.

Last loaded2 days ago

Current position value: $1
Snapshot cash PnL: −$350.6K
Concentration: 70.5%
Positions: 104

EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares

ITF Rochester: Benjamin Willwerth vs Joaquim Almeida

Benjamin Willwerth · YesValue$0.74PnL+$0.41Avg44.7¢Current100¢0.74Shares

KBO: NC Dinos vs. Kia Tigers

NC Dinos · YesValue$0.31PnL+$0.15Avg52.4¢Current100¢0.31Shares

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET

Up · YesValue$0PnL−$0.30Avg51.7¢Current0¢0.58Shares

Swedish Open: Adolfo Vallejo vs Stefano Travaglia

Stefano Travaglia · NoValue$0PnL−$12.7KAvg35.7¢Current0¢35,714.04Shares

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET

Down · NoValue$0PnL−$1.1KAvg53.9¢Current0¢2,017.62Shares

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET

Down · NoValue$0PnL−$980Avg53.3¢Current0¢1,839.92Shares

Pozoblanco: Dominik Palan vs Izan Almazan Valiente

Dominik Palan · YesValue$0PnL−$12.4KAvg38.4¢Current0¢32,146.2Shares

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET

Up · YesValue$0PnL−$4.9KAvg61.4¢Current0¢7,980.47Shares

Showing 8 of 104 positions by current value

Results by category

Sources

Category results use decided positions from the last 90 days.

Results

Exposure

Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

Loading tracked activity…

Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

2 months ago

BUYYES

Elena Pridankina · 41¢

Hamburg European Open: Elena Pridankina vs Panna UdvardyOpen market →$2K

2 months ago

SELLYES

36¢

Palermo: Alessandra Mazzola vs Dalila SpiteriOpen market →$1.1K

2 months ago

BUYNO

64¢

Palermo: Alessandra Mazzola vs Dalila SpiteriOpen market →$1.9K

2 months ago

SELLYES

56¢

Palermo: Alessandra Mazzola vs Dalila SpiteriOpen market →$1.1K

2 months ago

SELLYES

65.7¢

Swedish Open: Adolfo Vallejo vs Stefano TravagliaOpen market →$3.1K

About this wallet

Wallet 0x507c0f4f0ed3328d0ba65dcd7b3b4b84da5385ef: two-sided market-making flow, so no directional win rate is published, edge −17.2% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −34.6%, n=127 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (−12.1% over 111 fills); −$120.4K lifetime P&L, $1.6M traded, updated 2026-09-26.