PolyTrace
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Trader profile

Barboncino

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Loss-making historically.

Lifetime PnL−$2.2KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate62.3%369 settled · past 180 days13 open · 22% underwater · 20 hours ago
Lifetime volume$1.3M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded560Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
+1.1% / $95% interval −59.7% to +61.9%34 settled fills · 90d window
Politics
−8.8%n=11 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

Measured 13 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 62.3% · Decided 369 · 180d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded20 hours ago
Current position value
$20.8K
Snapshot cash PnL
−$42K
Concentration
25.9%
Largest share of value
Positions
43
Showing the largest 8 of 43
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?
NoValue$5.4KPnL+$3.3KAvg33.9¢Current89.5¢6,000.49Shares
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
NoValue$4.9KPnL−$658Avg55.7¢Current49.1¢10,000Shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
NoValue$4.7KPnL+$2.4KAvg38¢Current78.5¢6,016Shares
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
YesValue$2.3KPnL−$600Avg19.5¢Current15.5¢15,000Shares
Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by December 31, 2026?
NoValue$1.5KPnL+$174Avg79.5¢Current90¢1,653.34Shares
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
YesValue$568PnL+$5Avg6.2¢Current6.3¢9,084.48Shares
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
YesValue$525PnL+$191Avg56.2¢Current88.2¢595Shares
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?
NoValue$388PnL+$307Avg20¢Current95.9¢405Shares
Showing 8 of 43 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet Barboncino: 62.3% win rate over 369 resolved positions (last 180 days), edge +1.1% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −59.7%, n=34 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Politics (−8.8% over 11 fills); −$2.2K lifetime P&L, $1.3M traded, updated 2026-09-27.