PolyTrace
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Trader profile

0x502b…3b15

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Profitable historically.

Lifetime PnL+$47.7KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate52.4%40,846 settled · past 90 days11 open · 78% underwater · 4 hours ago
Lifetime volume$9.2M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded1,903Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−1.6% / $95% interval −8.0% to +4.7%26 settled fills · 90d window
Crypto
−1.7%n=25 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

Measured 22 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 52.4% · Decided 40,846 · 90d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Top 5,000
Last loaded4 hours ago

This snapshot reached the 5,000-position product limit. Showing up to 5,000 positions by size.

Current position value
$14.7K
Based on Top 5,000 positions
Snapshot cash PnL
−$431.8K
Based on Top 5,000 positions
Concentration
21.3%
Largest share of value
Positions
5,000
Showing the largest 8 of 5,000
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Will the Democrats win the New York governor race in 2026?
YesValue$3.1KPnL+$120Avg91.4¢Current95¢3,305.26Shares
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?
NoValue$2.8KPnL$0Avg92.6¢Current92.6¢2,999.99Shares
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?
NoValue$2.3KPnL−$388Avg79.9¢Current68.5¢3,390.22Shares
Will Elon Musk be richest person on December 31?
YesValue$2KPnL−$4Avg97.2¢Current97¢2,057.51Shares
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
YesValue$1.6KPnL+$33Avg72¢Current73.5¢2,228.81Shares
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
NoValue$966PnL+$66Avg90¢Current96.6¢1,000Shares
Will the Democrats win the Massachusetts governor race in 2026?
YesValue$958PnL+$8Avg95¢Current95.8¢1,000Shares
Will Trump recognize Somaliland before 2027?
NoValue$454PnL−$7Avg92.1¢Current90.8¢500Shares
Showing 8 of 5,000 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

Loading tracked activity…

Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet 0x502b532f55778c0985846dc53a9bc71eb4f33b15: 52.4% win rate over 40,846 resolved positions (last 90 days), edge −1.6% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −8.0%, n=26 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Crypto (−1.7% over 25 fills); +$47.7K lifetime P&L, $9.2M traded, updated 2026-09-24.