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Trader profile

WizhardofOddz

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Loss-making historically.

Lifetime PnL−$6.1KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate59.7%62 settled · past 180 days8 open · 26% underwater · 18 hours ago
Lifetime volume$94.1K364 trades · Polymarket
Markets traded73Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−7.5% / $95% interval −356.3% to +341.4%12 settled fills · 90d window
Finance
−4.1%n=10 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 13 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 59.7% · Decided 62 · 180d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded18 hours ago
Current position value
$8.3K
Snapshot cash PnL
+$418
Concentration
95.3%
Largest share of value
Positions
8
All shown
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?
YesValue$7.9KPnL+$639Avg91.5¢Current99.6¢7,935.44Shares
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?
YesValue$102PnL+$2Avg87¢Current88.5¢114.94Shares
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?
NoValue$71PnL−$15Avg85¢Current70.5¢100Shares
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
YesValue$70PnL−$30Avg23.3¢Current16.2¢429.18Shares
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
YesValue$55PnL−$45Avg16¢Current8.8¢625Shares
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
YesValue$48PnL−$52Avg15.6¢Current7.6¢641.03Shares
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
YesValue$28PnL−$63Avg18¢Current5.5¢500Shares
Will the US federal government take a stake in Anduril Industries, Inc.?
YesValue$22PnL−$18Avg40¢Current22¢100.97Shares
All 8 positions shown
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet WizhardofOddz: 59.7% win rate over 62 resolved positions (last 180 days), edge −7.5% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −356.3%, n=12 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Finance (−4.1% over 10 fills); −$6.1K lifetime P&L, $94.1K traded, updated 2026-09-28.