PolyTrace
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Trader profile

Sdfghji

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Profitable historically.

Lifetime PnL+$18.7KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate57.5%454 settled · past 180 days7 open · 30% underwater · 15 hours ago
Lifetime volume$423.9K1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded480Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−20.9% / $95% interval −608.9% to +567.0%35 settled fills · 90d window
Politics
−21.7%n=30 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 13 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 57.5% · Decided 454 · 180d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded15 hours ago
Current position value
$13K
Snapshot cash PnL
−$1.3K
Concentration
21.3%
Largest share of value
Positions
8
All shown
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?
YesValue$2.8KPnL+$208Avg78.2¢Current84.5¢3,281.69Shares
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
YesValue$2.7KPnL+$31Avg57.2¢Current57.9¢4,709.1Shares
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?
YesValue$2.4KPnL+$438Avg80.4¢Current98¢2,488.99Shares
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?
NoValue$2.1KPnL+$345Avg60¢Current71.5¢3,000Shares
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30?
NoValue$2.1KPnL+$204Avg87¢Current96.6¢2,132.69Shares
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?
NoValue$798PnL+$92Avg85¢Current96.1¢829.99Shares
Iran full airspace closure by September 30?
YesValue$77PnL−$559Avg12.8¢Current1.6¢4,977.41Shares
Will the Bank of Israel decrease the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the September decision?
NoValue$0PnL−$2KAvg76.4¢Current0¢2,673.99Shares
All 8 positions shown
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet Sdfghji: 57.5% win rate over 454 resolved positions (last 180 days), edge −20.9% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −608.9%, n=35 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Politics (−21.7% over 30 fills); +$18.7K lifetime P&L, $423.9K traded, updated 2026-09-28.