PolyTrace
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Trader profile

DFV2

Directional

Historical record

Profitable historically.

Lifetime PnL+$22.8KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate79.8%94 settled · past 90 days62 open · 63% underwater · 10 hours ago
Lifetime volume$2.8M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded269Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnLLoading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
+1.3% / $95% interval −224.7% to +227.3%74 settled fills · 90d window
Crypto
+1.3%n=74 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 1 hour ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 79.8% · Decided 94 · 90d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded10 hours ago
Current position value
$283K
Snapshot cash PnL
−$46.7K
Concentration
16.4%
Largest share of value
Positions
68
Showing the largest 8 of 68
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
NoValue$46.4KPnL−$293Avg90.9¢Current90.4¢51,353.83Shares
NoValue$28.1KPnL+$1KAvg93.5¢Current97.2¢28,927.52Shares
NoValue$17.5KPnL+$40Avg99.6¢Current99.9¢17,552.93Shares
NoValue$16.8KPnL+$673Avg94.8¢Current98.8¢16,962.34Shares
NoValue$14.6KPnL−$1.2KAvg89.3¢Current82.5¢17,722.35Shares
NoValue$12.6KPnL+$178Avg92.9¢Current94.2¢13,420.24Shares
NoValue$12.1KPnL−$529Avg93.4¢Current89.5¢13,565.73Shares
NoValue$11.3KPnL−$2.7KAvg80.8¢Current65¢17,372.24Shares
Showing 8 of 68 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet DFV2: 79.8% win rate over 94 resolved positions (last 90 days), edge +1.3% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −224.7%, n=74 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Crypto (+1.3% over 74 fills); +$22.8K lifetime P&L, $2.8M traded, updated 2026-09-23.