PolyTrace
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Trader profile

e46m3

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Profitable historically.

Lifetime PnL+$701.1KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate—Not measured yet620 open · 88% underwater · 4 hours ago
Lifetime volume$18.4M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded4,942Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−5.4% / $95% interval −116.0% to +105.3%113 settled fills · 90d window
Politics
+0.7%n=42 settled
Finance
−1.7%n=17 settled
Sports
−10.2%n=52 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

Measured 21 hours ago

How this record is measured

This wallet's win rate has not been measured yet.

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Top 5,000
Last loaded4 hours ago

This snapshot reached the 5,000-position product limit. Showing up to 5,000 positions by size.

Current position value
$36.5K
Based on Top 5,000 positions
Snapshot cash PnL
−$812.1K
Based on Top 5,000 positions
Concentration
11.7%
Largest share of value
Positions
5,000
Showing the largest 8 of 5,000
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
YesValue$4.3KPnL+$1.7KAvg39.2¢Current65.5¢6,516.36Shares
Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?
NoValue$3.1KPnL+$139Avg95¢Current99.5¢3,107.45Shares
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on September 25?
YesValue$2KPnL+$17Avg98.7¢Current99.6¢2,008.15Shares
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on September 28?
YesValue$1.8KPnL+$2Avg98.7¢Current98.8¢1,812.79Shares
Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?
YesValue$1.6KPnL+$1.6KAvg3.4¢Current97.1¢1,670.78Shares
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House
YesValue$1.6KPnL−$271Avg31¢Current26.5¢6,040.65Shares
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on September 26?
YesValue$1.6KPnL+$6Avg99.2¢Current99.6¢1,559.15Shares
Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?
NoValue$1.5KPnL+$0.83Avg99.2¢Current99.3¢1,549.32Shares
Showing 8 of 5,000 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

Loading tracked activity…

Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet e46m3: edge −5.4% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −116.0%, n=113 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Politics (+0.7% over 42 fills); +$701.1K lifetime P&L, $18.4M traded, updated 2026-09-24.