PolyTrace
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Trader profile

0x4e9c…1fca

Market makers
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Market-making activity, measured as two-sided flow.

Lifetime PnL−$35.7KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Buy / sell split—Loading trading flow…0 open · 8 days ago
Lifetime volume$676.2K684 trades · Polymarket
Markets traded348Lifetime coverage
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−27.5% / $95% interval −221.2% to +166.3%34 settled fills · 90d window
Sports
−27.5%n=34 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 11 hours ago

How this record is measured

Two-sided market-making flow does not measure directional forecasting skill.

Observed activity

How this wallet provides liquidity

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded2 days ago
Current position value
$0
Snapshot cash PnL
−$136.9K
Concentration
—
Largest share of value
Positions
215
Showing the largest 8 of 215
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Counter-Strike: Isurus vs Turma do Pagode (BO3) - CCT South America Series #1 Playoffs
Turma do Pagode · NoValue$0PnL−$340Avg34¢Current0¢999.97Shares
Spread: Knicks (-2.5)
Cavaliers · NoValue$0PnL−$250Avg38¢Current0¢657.89Shares
BYU Cougars vs. Cincinnati Bearcats
BYU CougarsValue$0PnL−$979Avg28.2¢Current0¢3,475.5Shares
National Bank Open: Elina Svitolina vs Jessica Bouzas Maneiro
Jessica Bouzas Maneiro · NoValue$0PnL−$500Avg37.7¢Current0¢1,327.44Shares
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)
Los Angeles Dodgers · YesValue$0PnL−$550Avg42¢Current0¢1,309.52Shares
Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-1.5)
Toronto Blue Jays · YesValue$0PnL−$250Avg34¢Current0¢735.29Shares
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs NRG (BO1) - CS Asia Championships Group A
NRG · NoValue$0PnL−$150Avg31¢Current0¢484.19Shares
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs Astralis - Map 2 Winner
Astralis · NoValue$0PnL−$796Avg51¢Current0¢1,560.82Shares
Showing 8 of 215 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet 0x4e9ced2b4941fef895a956461423a44dc8831fca: two-sided market-making flow, so no directional win rate is published, edge −27.5% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −221.2%, n=34 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (−27.5% over 34 fills); −$35.7K lifetime P&L, $676.2K traded, updated 2026-09-26.