PolyTrace
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Trader profile

RoadtoSanary

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Profitable historically.

Lifetime PnL+$1.1KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate69.7%211 settled · past 180 days11 open · 43% underwater · 1 day ago
Lifetime volume$237.7K444 trades · Polymarket
Markets traded243Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−7.2% / $95% interval −41.2% to +26.8%13 settled fills · 90d window

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 11 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 69.7% · Decided 211 · 180d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded1 day ago
Current position value
$4.7K
Snapshot cash PnL
−$704
Concentration
62.6%
Largest share of value
Positions
45
Showing the largest 8 of 45
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
YesValue$3KPnL+$520Avg75.2¢Current91.1¢3,259.33Shares
Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?
YesValue$505PnL+$11Avg23¢Current23.5¢2,148.35Shares
Will Bayern Munich win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?
YesValue$318PnL−$11Avg15¢Current14.5¢2,196.07Shares
Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?
YesValue$276PnL−$33Avg14¢Current12.5¢2,205.86Shares
Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?
YesValue$257PnL−$11Avg12¢Current11.5¢2,230.42Shares
Will Xavier Bertrand be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?
YesValue$238PnL−$12Avg15.8¢Current15¢1,583.38Shares
Will Bayern Munich be the 2026-27 Bundesliga champion?
YesValue$85PnL−$5Avg88¢Current83.5¢102.27Shares
Will Bruno Retailleau be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?
YesValue$48PnL−$7Avg74¢Current65¢74.32Shares
Showing 8 of 45 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet RoadtoSanary: 69.7% win rate over 211 resolved positions (last 180 days), edge −7.2% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −41.2%, n=13 settled fills over 90 days); +$1.1K lifetime P&L, $237.7K traded, updated 2026-09-27.