PolyTrace
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Trader profile

0x4e8b…05bd

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Loss-making historically.

Lifetime PnL−$54.9KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate92%339 settled · past 180 days0 open · 1 month ago
Lifetime volume$3M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded369Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−6.5% / $95% interval −101.3% to +88.3%99 settled fills · 90d window
Sports
−2.3%n=91 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 11 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 92% · Decided 339 · 180d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded15 hours ago
Current position value
$0
Snapshot cash PnL
−$78.6K
Concentration
—
Largest share of value
Positions
13
Showing the largest 8 of 13
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Estoril Open: Alexander Blockx vs Luciano Darderi
Luciano Darderi · NoValue$0PnL−$0.10Avg97¢Current0¢0.1Shares
Will the DHS shutdown end between April 29-30, 2026?
NoValue$0PnL−$240Avg58.4¢Current0¢411.09Shares
Roland Garros ATP: Adam Walton vs Daniil Medvedev
Daniil Medvedev · NoValue$0PnL−$6.7KAvg95¢Current0¢7,000Shares
UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)
Khamzat Chimaev · NoValue$0PnL−$1.1KAvg82¢Current0¢1,341.46Shares
LoL: T1 vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs
T1 · YesValue$0PnL−$5KAvg94.6¢Current0¢5,287.66Shares
Wimbledon ATP: Jaume Munar vs Francisco Cerundolo
Francisco Cerundolo · NoValue$0PnL−$1.8KAvg46¢Current0¢4,000Shares
Wimbledon ATP: Andrey Rublev vs Roman Safiullin
Andrey Rublev · YesValue$0PnL−$7Avg58.1¢Current0¢11.51Shares
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifier
Team Falcons · YesValue$0PnL−$5KAvg93¢Current0¢5,376.34Shares
Showing 8 of 13 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

Loading tracked activity…

Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet 0x4e8bd0ddaca3204bf58ef00736ec2a1d068005bd: 92% win rate over 339 resolved positions (last 180 days), edge −6.5% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −101.3%, n=99 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (−2.3% over 91 fills); −$54.9K lifetime P&L, $3M traded, updated 2026-09-28.