Trader profile

0x4e84…ef69

Directional

Profile updated2026-09-22

Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗

Chrome

Historical record

Profitable historically.

Lifetime PnL+$1.9KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime

Win rate—Not measured yet112 open · 44% underwater · 6 days ago

Lifetime volume$4.9M1,000+ trades · Polymarket

Markets traded166Lifetime coverage

90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…

Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed

Not measured: fewer than 10 settled fills in the window. No edge is published for this wallet, and that is not a zero.

How this record is measured

This wallet's win rate has not been measured yet.

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Current holdings

Sources

Holdings use the current Polymarket portfolio snapshot.

Last loaded6 days ago

Current position value: $12.3K
Snapshot cash PnL: +$435
Concentration: 4.4%
Positions: 120

EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares

Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026?

YesValue$538PnL+$23Avg66.5¢Current69.5¢774.35Shares

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?

NoValue$508PnL+$94Avg74.9¢Current92¢552.51Shares

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by March 31, 2027?

YesValue$488PnL+$110Avg77.4¢Current100¢488Shares

Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?

YesValue$477PnL+$12Avg81.4¢Current83.5¢570.91Shares

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by January 31, 2027?

NoValue$443PnL+$42Avg64.7¢Current71.5¢619.16Shares

Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027?

NoValue$441PnL+$43Avg67.2¢Current74.5¢591.5Shares

Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026?

NoValue$439PnL+$97Avg68.2¢Current87.5¢501.96Shares

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?

NoValue$426PnL+$78Avg63.4¢Current77.5¢549.9Shares

Showing 8 of 120 positions by current value

Results by category

Sources

Category results use decided positions from the last 90 days.

Results

Exposure

Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

Loading tracked activity…

Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

2 months ago

BUYYES

11¢

Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?Open market →

not settled

$1.1K

About this wallet

Wallet 0x4e84ce1599d3d0272932a729c2a3310b734bef69: edge not yet scored (needs 10 settled fills); +$1.9K lifetime P&L, $4.9M traded, updated 2026-09-22.