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Trader profile

RolandChang

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Loss-making historically.

Lifetime PnL−$838Polymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate72.6%328 settled · past 180 days19 open · 8% underwater · 4 days ago
Lifetime volume$2.3M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded529Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−30.7% / $95% interval −583.7% to +522.3%58 settled fills · 90d window
Sports
−6.6%n=15 settled
Politics
−27.0%n=21 settled
Tech
−29.9%n=21 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 6 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 72.6% · Decided 328 · 180d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded4 days ago
Current position value
$10.3K
Snapshot cash PnL
−$14K
Concentration
37.4%
Largest share of value
Positions
39
Showing the largest 8 of 39
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
NoValue$3.9KPnL+$21Avg97.1¢Current97.7¢3,957.99Shares
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
YesValue$2.6KPnL+$569Avg76.1¢Current97.8¢2,626.78Shares
Will Zack Polanski win the Holborn and St Pancras by-election?
NoValue$820PnL+$15Avg84.5¢Current86¢953.75Shares
Will Claude go down fewer than 5 times in September?
NoValue$725PnL+$9Avg92.4¢Current93.7¢774.35Shares
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
NoValue$531PnL−$24Avg85.8¢Current82.1¢647.33Shares
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
NoValue$493PnL−$10Avg71.9¢Current70.5¢699.99Shares
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
YesValue$370PnL+$24Avg86.5¢Current92.5¢400Shares
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
NoValue$278PnL+$20Avg86¢Current92.5¢300Shares
Showing 8 of 39 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet RolandChang: 72.6% win rate over 328 resolved positions (last 180 days), edge −30.7% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −583.7%, n=58 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (−6.6% over 15 fills); −$838 lifetime P&L, $2.3M traded, updated 2026-09-20.