PolyTrace
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Trader profile

knrad

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Profitable historically.

Lifetime PnL+$30.9KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate65.4%231 settled · past 90 days125 open · 34% underwater · 10 hours ago
Lifetime volume$3M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded1,068Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
+36.5% / $95% interval −183.1% to +256.0%40 settled fills · 90d window
Politics
+37.1%n=39 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

Measured 4 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 65.4% · Decided 231 · 90d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded10 hours ago
Current position value
$88K
Snapshot cash PnL
+$4.4K
Concentration
8.9%
Largest share of value
Positions
125
Showing the largest 8 of 125
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
NoValue$7.8KPnL+$295Avg95.5¢Current99.3¢7,900.38Shares
Will Abiy Ahmed be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?
YesValue$7.7KPnL−$79Avg96.7¢Current95.7¢8,082.52Shares
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?
NoValue$6.3KPnL+$446Avg82.3¢Current88.5¢7,168.73Shares
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
YesValue$5.6KPnL+$413Avg85.7¢Current92.5¢6,025.25Shares
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?
YesValue$5.2KPnL+$9Avg97.5¢Current97.7¢5,311.88Shares
Will Pope Leo XIV be TIME Person of the Year 2026?
NoValue$4.4KPnL+$297Avg84.9¢Current91¢4,851.84Shares
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
YesValue$4.4KPnL+$1.9KAvg32.9¢Current58.2¢7,504.33Shares
Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026?
NoValue$3.6KPnL+$272Avg83.6¢Current90.5¢3,927.28Shares
Showing 8 of 125 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet knrad: 65.4% win rate over 231 resolved positions (last 90 days), edge +36.5% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −183.1%, n=40 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Politics (+37.1% over 39 fills); +$30.9K lifetime P&L, $3M traded, updated 2026-09-23.