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Trader profile

defillama7

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Profitable historically.

Lifetime PnL+$372.9KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate56.7%30 settled · past 90 days3 open · 61% underwater · 8 hours ago
Lifetime volume$3.1M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded51Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−21.6% / $95% interval −50.1% to +6.9%67 settled fills · 90d window
Politics
−2.6%n=51 settled
Finance
−51.6%n=16 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 9 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 56.7% · Decided 30 · 90d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded8 hours ago
Current position value
$5.8K
Snapshot cash PnL
−$143.7K
Concentration
69.4%
Largest share of value
Positions
18
Showing the largest 8 of 18
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?
NoValue$4KPnL−$334Avg78¢Current72¢5,566.33Shares
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?
YesValue$1.7KPnL+$494Avg67.7¢Current95.5¢1,783.5Shares
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?
YesValue$68PnL−$455Avg58¢Current7.5¢900Shares
Will Plaid Cymru win the most seats in the 2026 Welsh Senedd election?
NoValue$0PnL−$905Avg26¢Current0¢3,479.45Shares
U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?
YesValue$0PnL−$4.5KAvg64.3¢Current0¢6,945.19Shares
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
YesValue$0PnL−$17.3KAvg24.3¢Current0¢70,977.99Shares
Will Darline Graham Nordone win the first round of the South Carolina Republican Senate special primary?
NoValue$0PnL−$13.2KAvg36.7¢Current0¢36,109.96Shares
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
YesValue$0PnL−$3.6KAvg74.6¢Current0¢4,818.28Shares
Showing 8 of 18 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet defillama7: 56.7% win rate over 30 resolved positions (last 90 days), edge −21.6% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −50.1%, n=67 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Politics (−2.6% over 51 fills); +$372.9K lifetime P&L, $3.1M traded, updated 2026-09-28.